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Mathematical
Probability
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The probability of
any given occurrence at a specific place or time relates to the value
of a piece of physical evidence.
Example: The
likelihood of two different people sharing an exact print (type,
characteristics, spatial and planer relationship) is 1:10.
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The less frequent
the rate or probability of independent occurrences, the firmer the
base of confidence becomes.
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The greater the
frequency of an occurrence, the less significance that can be attached
to its evidentiary value.
Examples:
In 1969, yellow VW
Beetles were common (popular car, limited color selection).
The chances were
greater that two yellow 1969 VW Beetles could exist in the same
vicinity in 1969 than today.
Therefore, this
information may lack significance in 1969.
1969 yellow VW's (and VW's in
general) are less common in 2001.
Therefore, the rate of occurrence
of the presence of a yellow VW Beetle would be significantly less.
Thus, the odds
(mathematical probability) would favor such a vehicle being the
suspect vehicle if found in the vicinity/jurisdiction where the
hit and run occurred.
The presence of
fresh damage would also impact the odds.
Theory of
Transfer/Exchange
a. "When two
objects touch each other, trace substances of each are
exchanged."
b. When a suspect
enters a crime scene, he/she leaves something behind and/or takes
something away from the scene.
c. This provides an
opportunity to link suspect with the scene/crime providing proper
collections/examinations are made from/of scene/victim/suspect.
Major Groupings Of
Physical Evidence
a. Physical evidence is
any material, however microscopic, solid, liquid or gaseous, that may
aid in the determination of the truth during the investigation of a
crime.
b. Physical evidence
capable of scientific analysis that is likely to be found at the scene
of a crime falls into eight (8) major groups and one (1) miscellaneous
group.
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